Jaroso Fire Smoke Update Through June 29, 2013
Incident: Jaroso Fire Wildfire
Updated 1400 MDT June 28, 2013 Valid through Saturday, June 29, 2013
Potentially significant smoke impacts from the Silver fire are expected in the Mimbres Valley and the communities of Hillsboro and Kingston tomorrow morning. Potentially unhealthy conditions (visibility of 1.5 to 2.75 miles or less) could occur. If they do, sensitive groups such as people with heart and/or lung disease, adults over age 65, young children, and pregnant women should avoid all outdoor activities until air quality improves. Everyone else should minimize outdoor activities.
With light winds and increasing chances for thunderstorms predicted over the next day, smoke from the Silver and Jaroso fires will stay close to active fires and is expected to settle in to drainages below active fires tonight and tomorrow morning. In the areas near the fires, potential impacts could occur in communities nearby as storm activity pushes smoke in unpredictable directions. These impacts, if they were to occur, should dissipate quickly. Hazy conditions, from a mixture of smoke, dust and higher humidities are expected across much of New Mexico. In addition, smoke from the West Fork Fire in Colorado could affect communities in the north-central and northwest New Mexico tomorrow morning.
Today a significant smoke plume is expected from the Silver Fire, as large growth is expected on the fire with active burning throughout the night. Smoke is expected to be initially transported towards the west, gradually shifting towards the northeast tomorrow. Most of the smoke is expected to stay above ground level, but there may be periods downwind when this smoke falls to the surface, creating impacts.
Smoke from the Jaroso Fire is expected to decrease, as the chances for wetting rain over the next several days is very good. With minimal growth expected, any smoke produced is likely to settle in communities below active fire, in Pecos Canyon tonight and tomorrow morning.
Smoke forecasts are dependent on predicted fire growth and weather. If conditions change unexpectedly, impacts could occur. Communities nearby active fires may experience periods of air quality which are Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups (visibility of 3 to 5 miles). When the visibility starts to go below 5 miles, sensitive groups should minimize outdoor activities. Everyone else should minimize prolonged or physical activity outdoors.
Your eyes are your best tools to determine if it’s safe to be outside. Even if you smell smoke, the air quality may still be good. Remember: if visibility is 11 miles and up, the air quality is Good; six to ten miles, air quality is Moderate; three to five miles, air quality is Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups; one and a half to two and three quarter miles, air quality is Unhealthy; one to one and a quarter miles, air quality is Very Unhealthy; and one mile or less, air quality is Hazardous.
For information about health effects of smoke, including actions individuals can take to protect themselves, and guidance on distances and visibility, based on the location of current fires, please visit, nmtracking.org/fire.
Updated information on fire activity in the Southwest can be found in the SWCC Morning Intelligence Briefing.
Additional smoke information can be found at the SWCC Smoke Impact Awareness page.